The FTC Has the Chance to Rein in Big Pharma

The FTC Has the Chance to Rein in Big Pharma

Semaglutide manufacturers seem to be taking advantage of America’s health crises to indulge in anticompetitive behavior.

Ozempic,Insulin,Injection,Pen,Or,Insulin,Cartridge,Pen,For,Diabetics.

Credit: Caroline Ruda/Shutterstock

The Federal Trade Commission needs to keep a watchful eye on Big Pharma’s recent maneuvers to control necessary medicine. Indeed, large pharmaceutical companies are seizing our growing diabetes and obesity crises as an opportunity to cash in on American patients. How? They are attempting to manipulate the production of semaglutide—the primary ingredient in Ozempic and Wegovy—probably because of the undeniable pecuniary success European Big Pharma companies, like Novo Nordisk, are seeing from those sales. Indeed, Ozempic sales in the U.S. were roughly $13.9 billion in 2023. Novo Nordisk itself reported that it experienced an increase of 58 percent in GLP-1 diabetes sales and a 154 percent rise in obesity care sales, largely credited to Ozempic and Wegovy’s distribution. 

One primary issue is that the GLP-1 market is almost entirely made up of one of two manufacturers, Lilly and Novo Nordisk. These two companies control almost the total supply of GLP-1 medications. Conservative estimations indicate that Lilly enjoys at least a 56 percent market share in GLP-1 subscriptions. Novo Nordisk makes up the remaining 44 percent. 

Given these drugs’ essential role in managing our ongoing diabetes and obesity crises, we can’t be overly reliant on two supply chains, especially when just under half of it is owned by a non-American company, namely Novo Nordisk. When one of these firms makes an economic decision, such as engaging in exclusive dealings or changing prices, it sends a sonic boom throughout the market both for consumers and competitors. 

It is why the Trump administration must stay vigilant of Big Pharma’s tactics to harness control over our medicine so that the MAHA agenda can be realized fully.

It is also why Lilly’s recent deals with telemedicine providers is so troubling. On June 10, 2025, high-level officials at Lilly offered remarks at Goldman Sachs’s conference. According to readouts from Lilly’s presentation, the company described the measures it is undertaking to “reduc[e] patient out-of-pocket costs” and how it plans to “enhance[e] direct-to-consumer experiences.” 

Concerningly, the company made a slew of admissions throughout its presentation that raise the specter of anticompetitive behavior. It described how it is engaging in exclusive contracting with telehealth providers, how it may be leveraging the prevention of compounding to create barriers to generic access of GLP-1 drugs, how it is using its brand dominance to fortify pricing power, and how it uses its Lilly Direct as a tool to divert users to its services by exerting even more control over GLP-1 distribution.

But this is far from the only issue. 

Novo Nordisk’s recent decision to cut ties with Hims has also sent a rippling effect through the market. Indeed, due to the partnership ending, Hims shares dropped a whopping 32 percent. The drop in shares after a deal falling through is not abnormal. However, the given reason as to why the deal has is. Novo is using a regulatory designation by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to prevent Hims from selling a generic alternative to its Wegovy because Novo contends that such sales are now illegal due to the FDA removing semaglutide—the active ingredient in Wegovy, Ozempic, and Rybelsus—from its “shortage list.” 

What makes this claim strange is that Novo Nordisk did not just want to prohibit the sales of doses within the legal parameters of the FDA rules, but even offerings where the rules likely did not apply. Specifically, Novo Nordisk was forcing Hims to stop the distribution of “personalized” doses of semaglutide compound drugs that providers were prescribing to their patients. The FDA rules are fairly clear that the providers make that decision, not the pharmaceutical company. Indeed,  Section 503a of the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act allows health providers to make the choice on whether a particular patient requires a personalized dose via a compound, even when no shortage exists. 

Hims, however, claims that Novo Nordisk is arbitrarily using that designation to pressure the company into steering patients to its branded drugs as opposed to offering them a compounded (and more affordable) option. In short, Novo wants to take that choice out of the provider’s—and by extension the patient’s—hands, with no apparent legal basis.  

These reasons alone are enough to spark at least an investigation to get a clearer picture of what these dealings entail and their potential to have anticompetitive effects. As FTC Commissioner Mark Meador observed, there is an expressed “need for continued vigilance over competition in the healthcare space.” 

The FTC opening up an investigation into Lilly and Novo Nordisk’s practices would be precisely that. 

The post The FTC Has the Chance to Rein in Big Pharma appeared first on The American Conservative.

How 24 Hours in a Remote Greenland Village Showed Me Its American Spirit

How 24 Hours in a Remote Greenland Village Showed Me Its American Spirit

My conversations with young Greenlanders showed me that they are interested in a deal with the U.S. 

Flag,Of,Greenland.,Background,With,Mountains,And,Glaciers.,Beautiful,Sunny

Credit: Michal Balada/Shutterstock

As we neared Kangerlussuaq, Greenland, population 508 and home of an outpost of Arktisk Kommando, Danish Arctic Command, everyone on my flight was astonished by the emptiness of it all.

“There’s like… no one here,” one of my travel companions weighed in from the back of the plane.

It was true. We had been flying over Greenland (total population: 57,000) for approximately 25 minutes and had not seen a single house, road, car, or any evidence of human habitation at all. 

Kangerlussuaq sits at the end of a 100-mile-long fjord, 31 miles north of the Arctic Circle. It was once home to the U.S. Sondrestrom Air Force Base, which closed in 1992. The village contains an airport (at the site of the closed U.S. Air Force base), a restaurant (located in the airport), three gift shops (two of which are in the airport), and a small, Aldi-like grocery store that sells .22 rifles off an open shelf (mercifully, across the street from the airport). Kangerlussuaq now seems to be a shell of its former self. 

After we landed and took a short bus ride to the terminal, I was left to wander around the town. I walked a mile east and then back a mile west (inland), and I was struck by not only the remoteness, but also the general sense of abandonment. Large satellite dishes, which had long been a part of the over-the-pole early radar detection system, sat abandoned and decaying in stubborn grass and moss. A garbage dump—really, just a field of junk—contained rusted Caterpillars, luggage carts, and scrap metal. Shipping containers full of food, medical supplies, and other necessities—brought six months of the year when the fjord isn’t packed with ice, a local told me—sat just outside of town to the west, a lifeline for the isolated people during the nearly three months of winter darkness. 

The sense of abandonment was confirmed when I talked to the habitants of the Kangerlussuaq. “They don’t really come here,” a dishwasher commented when I asked him about the Danish presence. “Unless they’re sent by the military.” The most exciting recent guest according to several locals I asked: Morgan Freeman, who had visited two weeks prior. 

Back in my hotel room—also located in the airport—I slept under the near-midnight sun. This time of year, the sun doesn’t set; it just wanes into a pale gray around 3 a.m. local time.

The next day, I started my day with sausage, hard-boiled eggs, and coffee. At breakfast, I spoke with a young man I had seen working the cash register at the restaurant the night before. “You’re here from America?” he asked. When I responded in the affirmative, he put his fist up in the air and said, “Make America Great Again!” with a big, toothy grin.

Caught off-guard, I shook his hand with a wry smile and departed for another hike—this time, off to find some American airplane wreckage from the 1960s. 

I hiked down a few miles of dirt road. The only passerby was a dump truck on its way to the junk field. Upon reaching the end of the road, I looked left to a steep incline with deep, muddy puddles, and a warning sign for musk ox. Thinking back with regret to my visit to the grocery store with the .22s, I started up the mountain.

Fifty minutes of huffing and puffing later, a vista opened. Straight ahead of me lay a lake without a name, like most lakes in Greenland. To the west, I could see a faint glimmer of Kangerlussuaq. What I couldn’t see, however, was made up for with sound. I heard the steady rumble of an old propeller plane getting ready to take off from Kangerlussuaq airport—I discovered later it was a training mission for new pilots in the Danish Air Force. 

The drone of ancient aircraft in my ears, I started around the lake, searching for any hint of the wreckage. Back in 1968, during a whiteout, three U.S. training jets crashed just miles away from Kangerlussuaq. Mercifully, no men were killed, although one did sustain a broken arm during the crash. I wandered around for some 30 minutes, but could find no plane remnants, aside from a roughly 3×6 piece of scrap metal that could just as easily have been carried over from the junk field by the wind.

Frustrated, but also exhausted from the several inclined miles I’d hiked already, I started back down the mountain.

Greenland is full of potential. As I scrambled over rocks and clinging moss, I thought about the myriad of conversations I’d had in my short time in Kangerlussuaq. In many ways, they mirrored conversations I’d had with friends, neighbors, and people I’ve met all over America, which boiled down to: “If only someone would give us a chance.”

Denmark gives 3.9 million DKK (approximately $615 million) to Greenland every year. This grant alone is 20 percent of GDP and over 50 percent of public spending in Greenland. But private Danish investment in Greenland is minimal. This was a recurring theme in every conversation I had: “The Danish hate us,” “The Danish think we’re dumb and backward,” “The Danish treat us like children,” and so on. It’s not as if Greenland is a worthless wasteland. It’s home to some of the largest deposits of rare earth minerals. Greenland is also geostrategically located within five hours of most of the North Atlantic and hosts some of the best deep-sea ports in the world.

As I returned to Kangerlussuaq, haggard and covered in mosquito bites (as in Alaska, the mosquitos in Greenland are almost the size of Volkswagen Beetles), I stopped back at the airport/restaurant/cafeteria and enjoyed what seemed like the best bowl of spaghetti I’d ever had.

After my carb load, I wandered back over to the counter, where my Greenlandic MAGA compatriot from breakfast now stood. 

“Do you have any extra MAGA hats?” he asked, pointing to one of my fellow travelers sporting the red cap known around the world.

Unfortunately, we did not, but as some of the Greenlander’s young friends arrived for lunch, they waxed enthusiastic about their love of the New York real estate giant, reality TV star, and two-time president.

“What do you guys think about becoming a part of America?” one of my colleagues queried. 

They replied, “We love America, please, we want to be in America!”

To be honest, though I had heard reports of this attitude from the youths of Greenland, I was gobsmacked by their sincerity and genuine enthusiasm. In the recent Greenlandic election, five of the six political parties (left, right, center, unionist, and anti-unionist) formed a coalition government to box out the second-highest vote-getter—Naleraq, which is the only political party that supports closer alignment with North America than with Europe. A sign of what’s to come, perhaps.

An offer was made to ship some MAGA hats to Greenland, so the boys jotted down their names and a promise was made (and kept).

I’ve studied, lectured, and dreamed of Greenland for almost a decade. What I saw in this little town, on the edge of civilization, that I reflected upon during the flight home was the total rugged American-ness of it all. The harsh terrain, brutal conditions, the struggle to make something of your place—but also the desire for something more and greater.

Maybe Greenland can be America after all.

The post How 24 Hours in a Remote Greenland Village Showed Me Its American Spirit appeared first on The American Conservative.

Portland Woman Angrily Confronts Antifa Members Protesting ICE: ‘Turn That S**t Down! We the People Need Sleep!’ (VIDEO)

Anti-ICE protesters and members of Antifa were recently confronted by a Portland woman who is clearly tired of their noise at all hours of the night.

The woman, who walks with a cane, is obviously out of patience. She tells the protesters that they’re ‘worse than ICE.’

She goes on to exchange quite a few ‘F’ bombs with the mob. It’s refreshing to see someone who is not afraid of these people and is willing to call them out.

RedState has details:

Portland is a city under siege by Antifa, and has been for some time. Like the good little obedient foot soldiers they are, they’ve begun putting up a resistance against ICE, which includes occupying space around an ICE facility.

The issue is that people actually live around this facility and the residents in the surrounding area are being kept up at all hours of the night and bothered through all hours of the day by the Antifa presence that has gone out of its way to try to trouble the organization.

Now the residents have had it, and a disabled black woman decided to confront them directly.

*LANGUAGE WARNING*

The woman came out screaming at them to turn the noise down as it’s midnight and people are trying to sleep, however Antifa refused. When the irate woman refused to play ball with Antifa, who at first were careful not to become offensive toward a disabled woman of color, they ditched their adherence to the oppression Olympics and began telling the woman to shove her cane up her rear end.

Watch the whole thing below:

The woman in the video later tweeted this:

Maybe she should run for mayor of Portland. She would clearly be an improvement.

The post Portland Woman Angrily Confronts Antifa Members Protesting ICE: ‘Turn That S**t Down! We the People Need Sleep!’ (VIDEO) appeared first on The Gateway Pundit.

Polling Shows Republican Jack Ciattarelli Can Win New Jersey Governor Race if He Takes the Right Stance on This Single Issue

In 2021, Republican Jack Ciattarelli ran for governor of New Jersey and came much closer to winning than anyone expected. There were even moments on election night where it looked like he had won the race.

He is running again this year and people on the right are pulling even harder for him this time. Republican activist Scott Presler is on the ground in the state, registering new Republican voters as well.

Recent polling indicates that Ciatarelli can win if he takes the right stance on a single issue.

From the New York Post:

Republican Jack Ciattarelli can win the New Jersey governor’s race this fall by campaigning against transgenderism, a new poll suggests.

The survey, conducted for the conservative American Principles Project, found that 68% of Garden State voters oppose allowing biological boys who identify as transgender to compete against girls in sports, while just 22% support transgender participation.

More than 70% of New Jersey residents also oppose taxpayer funding for gender transition or sex reassignment surgery for minors, while just 20% expressed support.

In addition, 60% of voters oppose public elementary schools teaching about sexual orientation and transgender ideology, while 31% back such instruction, according to the survey of 500 likely voters by Cygnal.

Ciattarelli is facing off against the Democratic nominee for governor, Rep. Mikie Sherrill, who is on record supporting transgender rights. They are vying to replace Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy, who is term-limited and can’t run again.

In the poll’s initial surveying of voters, Sherrill leads Ciattarelli 50% to 43%, with the remaining 7% undecided.

Voters are then told of Sherrill’s position on transgender rights and other issues.

“Anti-Women’s Sports: In Congress, Mikie Sherrill voted to let boys who identify as girls compete in girls’ sports,” one statement said.

Democrats across the board are vulnerable on this issue. Republicans should exploit it ruthlessly.

(Image:Source)

The post Polling Shows Republican Jack Ciattarelli Can Win New Jersey Governor Race if He Takes the Right Stance on This Single Issue appeared first on The Gateway Pundit.

Miracle: Florida Man Gives God Glory After Cross Necklace Blocks Bullet from Hitting Heart

Screenshot of Aidan Perry via Fox 35 Orlando YouTube channel

 

In the midst of tragedy, there’s always a bright spot.

A Florida man who was shot in the chest miraculously survived thanks to his cross necklace.

Aiden Perry, 20, was accidentally shot in the chest by a friend who was showing off his gun.

The bullet’s original path was to Perry’s heart, but the bullet ended up deflecting into fatty tissue after hitting Perry’s cross necklace.

Doctors stated that if Perry wasn’t wearing the necklace, the bullet would have pierced his heart.

Perry told WFLA, “I look at it as a lifesaver. Without it, I probably wouldn’t be talking to you guys right now.”

WATCH:

Per WFLA:

A Florida man who was shot in the chest credits a cross necklace for saving his life.

Aidan Perry, 20, told NBC affiliate WESH his friend was showing off a gun and accidentally fired it.

The bullet ricocheted off the golden necklace and became lodged in the fatty tissue of his chest. Doctors said the necklace saved his life, as it took most of the force of the bullet and slowed it down enough that it didn’t enter his chest.

If he hadn’t been wearing the necklace, doctors said the bullet could have pierced his lungs or heart.

LOOK:

Perry just didn’t give the cross necklace credit but gave thanks to God who is the message behind the cross.

“I think God played a big role in this, I think he’s the reason that I’m still here today,” shared Perry.

The post Miracle: Florida Man Gives God Glory After Cross Necklace Blocks Bullet from Hitting Heart appeared first on The Gateway Pundit.

This Moment on MSNBC Shows Why We Need to Get Insane People Out of the ‘News’ Analysis Business (VIDEO)

MSNBC recently featured commentary about the new Supreme Court rulings from Elie Mystal which crossed the river of crazy.

Mystal framed his entire argument by saying, ‘Imagine Donald Trump wants to murder you.’

This sort of commentary is meant to do nothing but inflame viewers. It’s meant to push people over the edge. It’s also completely insane.

People like this need to be pushed out of the ‘news’ analysis business.

Transcript via Real Clear Politics:

ELIE MYSTAL: Imagine Donald Trump wants to do something illegal to you. Ali Velshi, imagine that he wants to murder you. Imagine that he and Stephen Miller released an entire policy explaining how they can murder Canadian journalists who are working in America because they’re taking the jobs from real American journalists. Right? So he’s going to murder you.

So you, Ali Velshi, you go to court. You go to court in the Southern District of New York, and you say, like, “I don’t—I don’t—I don’t think this murder thing is constitutional. It’s clearly illegal. It’s clearly unconstitutional. Donald Trump and Pam Bondi and Stephen Miller shouldn’t be able to have a plan to murder me.”

And the court says, “You’re right, Ali Velshi. There’s no way Donald Trump is allowed to murder you. We’re going to have an injunction. We’re going to stay the executive order saying that he’s going to murder Canadian journalists.”

And so you’re like, great. Awesome. And you go home.

And then Pat Kiernan shows up, and he’s like, “What about me? I’m also a Canadian.” Ashleigh Banfield shows up: “I’m also Canadian. What about me?”

And the courts say, “Well, I can’t help you because Ali Velshi is the one who sued. So, Pat Kiernan, if you don’t want to be murdered, you have to launch your entire own lawsuit in the Southern District of New York—again—to make sure that Donald Trump doesn’t murder you.”

Here’s the video:

This rhetoric does not inform or help people in any way. It’s what we used to call crazy talk, and it needs to end.

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Watch CNN Forced to Report That Gas Prices Have Hit a Four-Year Low (VIDEO)

CNN was just forced to report that gas prices have hit a four year low on Trump’s watch. It was a thing of beauty.

They note that lots of people are going to be traveling by car for the July 4th weekend, many more than in recent years.

This comes after months of Democrats and media outlets complaining that Trump has not lowered prices fast enough. Now it’s happening and all the recent criticism gets memory holed.

The Washington Examiner has details on the change in pricing:

Gas prices: Fuel costs continue to fall, hitting lowest June price point since 2021

The national average price for regular gas decreased on Monday to $3.185 per gallon, according to AAA, the least expensive average cost for regular gas in the month of June in the last four years.

The latest drop in gas prices comes after several consecutive days of gradual decreases in fuel costs. Monday’s national average price point is less expensive than a week ago when the average price of regular gas was $3.22 per gallon. It is also significantly cheaper than in 2024, when the national average price for regular gas was nearly thirty cents per gallon higher at $3.491.

Furthermore, Monday’s price point for gas means that June will finish with the lowest national average price in June for regular gas since 2021, when it was $3.157 per gallon, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. It was also a stark contrast to costs under Joe Biden in June 2022, when the national average price for regular gas was $5.032 per gallon, the most expensive in the country’s history.

Additionally, the fuel costs on Monday were also less expensive than the average price for May, when a gallon of gas was $3.278, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Now watch CNN reporting on this. It must have pained them to have to cover this:

This is only the beginning. As fuel prices drop, so will the cost of other goods.

The post Watch CNN Forced to Report That Gas Prices Have Hit a Four-Year Low (VIDEO) appeared first on The Gateway Pundit.

WATCH: Trump to Visit New Alligator Alcatraz Alien Detention Facility “Surrounded by Dangerous Wildlife and Unforgiving Terrain” TOMORROW – “There is Only One Road Leading in. The Only Way Out is a One Way Flight.”

President Trump is scheduled to visit Florida’s new “Alligator Alcatraz” facility, which he plans to use for housing illegal aliens, on Tuesday, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed to reporters earlier.

“There is only one road leading in, and there is— the only way out is a one way flight,” Leavitt said. “It is isolated and surrounded by dangerous wildlife and unforgiving terrain.”

The President has long embraced tough lock-up conditions for violent criminals “as a symbol of Law, Order, and JUSTICE.” Last month, President Trump ordered the Bureau of Prisons to reopen the original Alcatraz off the coast of San Francisco to house the “dregs of society.” The historic facility is known for being surrounded by ice-cold water, strong tidal currents, and, sometimes, Great White sharks, making escape nearly impossible.

As The Gateway Pundit recently reported, Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier announced an incredible new Alcatraz-like concept that the State of Florida plans to use to house criminal illegal aliens as they are deported. The “Alligator Alcatraz” facility in the Florida Everglades will utilize Florida’s natural defenses, including alligators, pythons, and dense swampland, to keep alien criminals locked up.

“If people get out, there’s not much waiting for them other than alligators and pythons—nowhere to go, nowhere to hide,” said Uthmeier in a savage warning.

Florida Attorney General Proposes Hardcore Detention Center for Criminal Illegals — Surrounded by Alligators and Pythons (VIDEO)

The message to illegal aliens is clear: If you try to escape, you will die.

Leavitt confirmed to reporters on Monday that the President will attend the opening of the facility, informally known as Alligator Alcatraz, as the administration seeks to increase the number of alien arrests and deportations.

WATCH:

Leavitt: Tomorrow, President Trump will travel to the great state of Florida to attend the opening of a new illegal alien detention center, located at Dade-Collier Training and Transition Airport, alongside Secretary Kristi Noem, Governor Ron DeSantis, Congressman Byron Donalds, and other state and local leaders. We hope to see many of you there.

The facility is in the heart of the Everglades and will be informally known as Alligator Alcatraz. There is only one road leading in, and there is— the only way out is a one way flight. It is isolated and surrounded by dangerous wildlife and unforgiving terrain. The facility will have up to 5,000 beds to house, process, and deport criminal illegal aliens. This is an efficient and low cost way to help carry out the largest mass deportation campaign in American history.

Leavitt was later asked about the facility and the One Big Beautiful Bill, and she confirmed that the alligators will be a “deterrent” for illegals trying to escape. She further highlighted the importance of Congress passing the One Big Beautiful Bill “because we need more detention facilities across the country.”

Reporter: You mentioned the dangerous wildlife at the Alligator Alcatraz. Is that a design feature?

Leavitt: Well, look, when you have illegal murders and rapists and heinous criminals in a detention facility surrounded by alligators, yes, I do think that’s a deterrent for them to try to escape. We do know that some of these illegal criminals have escaped from other detention facilities, like one in New Jersey, which I know was recently reported on. So of course, we want to keep the American people safe, and we want to remove these public safety threats from our streets, and we want to effectively detain them as best as we can.

As for why the President is going, I think his trip to this detention facility actually underscores the need to pass the One Big Beautiful Bill because we need more detention facilities across the country. The last administration let in nearly 20 million illegal people from all over the world, and this administration is focused on arresting and detaining them. But in comparison to that 20 million illegal criminal population in our country, we only have 7,000 ICE agents in the interior who are doing this very important work. And so, we obviously need more personnel, we need more resources, and that’s why we need to pass the One Big Beautiful Bill.

The post WATCH: Trump to Visit New Alligator Alcatraz Alien Detention Facility “Surrounded by Dangerous Wildlife and Unforgiving Terrain” TOMORROW – “There is Only One Road Leading in. The Only Way Out is a One Way Flight.” appeared first on The Gateway Pundit.

JUST IN: Authorities Identify the Two Firefighters Killed in Idaho Ambush

Idaho firefighters killed identified as Battalion Chief Frank Harwood, 42, of Northern Lakes Fire Dept., and Coeur d’Alene Battalion Chief John Morrison

Kootenai County authorities identified the two Idaho firefighters tragically killed by a gunman on Sunday.

On Sunday, a 20-year-old suspect intentionally started a fire on Canfield Mountain in Coeur d’Alene, Idaho, to lure firefighters to the location and opened fire on the first responders.

The Gateway Pundit reported earlier that the suspect has been identified as 20‑year‑old Wess Roley.

Roley fatally shot two firefighters identified as Battalion Chief Frank Harwood, 42, of Northern Lakes Fire Department, and Coeur d’Alene Battalion Chief John Morrison.

A third firefighter was critically wounded.

CNN reported:

Authorities in Idaho have identified the firefighters killed in a shooting at Canfield Mountain Sunday.

Kootenai County Fire and Rescue Chief Frank Harwood, 42, and Coeur d’Alene Fire Department Battalion Chief John Morrison were identified as the fallen firefighters.

During a press conference Monday, Kootenai County Fire and Rescue Chief Christopher Way said Harwood was a member of the agency for 17 years. He was married, had two children and was a former Army National Guard combat engineer.

Way said that Harwood was a leader who “did an amazing job” and was well respected.

Morrison served Coeur d’Alene for more than 28 and moved up the ranks in his department from firefighter to battalion chief, Coeur d’Alene Fire Chief Tom Greif said.

Roley was later found dead near his weapon after law enforcement. Officials say he acted alone, but whether he died by suicide or police action remains unclear.

Photos of the suspect are now circulating online, as reported by the New York Post.

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Europe’s Defense Reality Check: The Mathematics of Military Inadequacy

Military personnel from European countries with the EU flag. Photo from open sources

 

Following President Trump’s successful push for NATO allies to commit to spending 5% of GDP on defense by 2035, Europe now faces the potentially insurmountable challenge of reversing decades of military neglect. Building a force capable of defending the continent against Russia or China will be a massive undertaking, made even more difficult by declining birthrates, a shrinking workforce, and the political cost of maintaining generous welfare states and pacifist norms.

NATO allies agreed on June 25, 2025, to more than double their defense spending target from 2% of GDP to 5% by 2035, with the commitment structured as 3.5% for “core defense” and 1.5% for broader security measures including infrastructure and cyber defense. This achievement was widely praised, with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte stating: “Would you ever think that this would be the result of this summit if he would not have been re-elected president? … I think he deserves all the praise”. However, the magnitude of this commitment becomes clear when examining current spending levels and capability gaps.

In 2024, European NATO members spent a combined $454 billion on defense, just 30% of total NATO spending, while the United States spent $997 billion, or 66%. Reports claim European military spending rose by 17% to $693 billion in 2024, but that figure misleadingly includes Russia’s estimated $149 billion. Given that NATO exists primarily to deter Russian aggression, it is absurd to include Russia’s defense budget in Europe’s total.

Even in terms of GDP percentage, Russia continues to outpace the European Union in defense spending. The EU’s total defense spending is projected to reach around 2.04% of GDP in 2025, while Russia is expected to spend 7.5% of its GDP on the military. But the gap in spending is just one part of Europe’s broader capabilities deficit.

Unlike Russia or the United States, Europe’s $454 billion in defense expenditures is fragmented across more than 30 countries, each with its own command structure, procurement system, administrative overhead, and military bureaucracy. In contrast, the United States achieves far greater efficiency and combat power through its unified $997 billion defense budget, which supports a single military structure with global reach.

Because the United States has invested in defense every single year since World War II, American military spending builds upon a solid, established foundation of infrastructure, technology, and institutional knowledge. In contrast, many European countries have militaries that are only 30 years old, particularly those that emerged from Soviet control, while even longstanding NATO members spent so little on defense for decades that their current spending represents desperate catch-up efforts.

Meanwhile, Europe remains fundamentally dependent on the United States for essential military functions including satellite intelligence services, threat assessments, air-to-air refueling, ballistic missile defense, airborne electromagnetic warfare, and advanced surveillance capabilities. These sophisticated systems cannot be quickly replicated regardless of increased spending, as they represent decades of technological development and operational expertise.

By some estimates, Europe would have to increase its annual spending by an additional $270 billion just to approach parity with Russia. More critically, Russia benefits from decades of accumulated military stockpiles inherited from the Soviet-era assets that took generations to build and cannot be quickly replicated. Its defense industry employs 4.5 million people and produces weapons at nearly three times the rate of the U.S. and Europe combined, while European nations are still operating largely peacetime defense industries.

Matching Russia’s military spending, which equals 32% of its government budget, would devastate Europe’s social welfare systems. European countries currently devote an average of 19.5% of GDP to social benefits, including healthcare, pensions, unemployment, and education, with France spending as much as 31.3%. Raising defense budgets to Russian levels would require deep cuts to the very programs that define European societies: universal healthcare, generous unemployment benefits, extensive parental leave, free higher education, and comprehensive pensions.

Beyond spending, Europe would face serious manpower challenges in expanding its armies. All European countries have fallen below the population replacement rate of 2.1 births per woman. Some of the lowest fertility rates include Malta (1.06), Spain (1.12), Lithuania (1.18), and Italy (1.21). Since World War II, most have reduced or eliminated conscription, France ended it in 1996, Spain in 2001, Germany in 2011, Belgium in 1994, and the UK as early as 1963.

Today, only a few countries, such as Finland, Norway, Cyprus, Austria, Lithuania, Estonia, and Switzerland, retain some form of conscription, typically with short terms and limited enforcement. In contrast, Russia maintains mandatory conscription for men up to age 30.

Falling birthrates and an aging population leave Europe with a shrinking workforce, rising pension costs, and limited fiscal space for defense or modernization. Sustaining expansive welfare systems while building credible military power is likely mathematically unworkable. With constrained tax capacity, demographic decline, and growing threats from Russia and China, Europe faces a narrowing set of options.

Conscription alone won’t solve the manpower shortage. Defense spending would also need to rise significantly, requiring major restructuring and politically painful cuts to entrenched social programs. Europe can either maintain generous welfare and remain militarily dependent on the U.S., or redirect resources toward serious defense investment at the expense of its social model.

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